Poll shows Reform UK gaining ground ahead of Wales election

A new YouGov poll ahead of the May 7 Senedd election projects Reform UK making major gains, potentially winning about 30 of 96 seats. The same poll gives Plaid Cymru a plurality with roughly 43 seats, and suggests Labour faces heavy losses, with First Minister Eluned Morgan at risk of losing her seat. Reforms surge reshapes the race by elevating a party that accepts crypto donations and opposes local climate action, increasing scrutiny of party funding and policy direction. The shift matters because it could break Labour dominance in Wales and force national reforms on party funding and foreign interference.