Mary Peltola widens lead in Alaska Senate count
We have our first Alaska update since Wednesday. The state adds 4947 ballots to its totals, and 4908 apply to the Senate race. They break very heavily for Mary Peltola, who grows her lead from 637 votes (or 0.3%) to 2517 votes (or 1.1%). She now leads over Sen. Sullivan 48.6% to 47.5%.
Including the Nov 9 updates, AP shows 76% of the votes have been counted:
But she needs to get over 50 right to avoid the ranked choice thing?
Read that what is left to count is mostly in the outer parts of Alaska, which lean heavily toward Mary Peltola.
I love Alaska, and I hope she wins. That said, this system where Alaska and California have equal representation in the Senate is nuts. Not as nuts as the Electoral College, but still nuts.
Did not realize this was this close.
Did some quick math... you mean to tell me she won 69% of the new batch? "Very heavily" is an understatement lol.
It’s the oldest saying in the book, but dang if it isn’t true: “As Mississippi goes, so goes Alaska.”
I like that we didn’t have all our treats at once. We left more treats to enjoy this week.
FREE OPPORTUNITY TO LIB OUT
By my calculations, Peltola has taken the lead in the hypothetical ranked choice runoff as well. Using the Election Day total, Sullivan would have beaten Peltola in the ranked choice runoff, but Peltola's first-choice advantage is now large enough to overcome that. #akleg #Alaska
Some good news from Alaska
Peltola hopefully on track to beat the Dan Sullivans outside the margin of a Dan Sullivan
Not a lot of surprises in this update. Chevak did report 137 total votes with 73% for Peltola, so that's 100% of the Election Day precincts reporting (except for the Typhoon communities) There will be another update tomorrow.
Can we get this over with!? 56 democratic senators. Let’s go!
Outstanding. Feeling bullish on both Peltola and Colom! 56!!!
I have been tracking the Colom / Hyde-Smith race in Mississippi a lot more closely because there was simply more and better data available, but with this latest batch from Alaska we learned a lot about the situation. Still seems likely to head for RCV instant run off. bsky.app/profile/tani...
Mary Peltola has widened her lead against Dan Sullivan in Alaska's Senate race, per her campaign. Peltola is now leading by 2,517 votes, after new vote drops from the Anchorage and Chevak areas. She outpaced him by 68% to 30% in these areas.
"After every vote is counted, it is clear that Mary Peltola will be elected Alaska’s next United States Senator," says Cheryl Bruce, Peltola's campaign manager. “Alaskans are fed up with high costs and corruption stemming from DC, and they have made their voices heard."
Remember these tight races if you’re ever distracted, feeling lazy or thinking your vote doesn’t matter.
Question from the back row: Aren't the best margins for her out in the boonies? If she's ahead now, when most votes have come in from the high-density precincts, isn't Sullivan fairly cooked?
But she needs to break 50% right?
Does this count already include the rank choice voting from people that voted for the other Dan and the other Republican in the race?
alaska vote count is really slow because it’s an incredibly rural state and ballots can take forever to arrive but given the outstanding vote I think the chances Peltola doesn’t even need ranked choice to win are pretty good 56, baby
Lol, wich one, I am so confused about those guys.
I understand why Alaska ballots take so long. I’m less clear on Mississippi’s process. Can someone smarter than me explain what next steps are/when this senate race will be called?
it will not be decided until Justin Jefferson scores again
I follow @sarahtaber.bsky.social and she's in Mississippi curing ballots now, so I get her thoughts on how it's going in Mississippi along with her other great informative posts.
Mississippi removed a lot of voters from the rolls through a partnership with Experian (the credit report people). A lot of those people still voted by filing affidavit ballots. Those ballots can be counted (and are) if the voter submits proof of eligibility. That's what's happening now.
Experian fucked up a bunch of voter data so there are lots of provisional ballots to validate.
Tuesday is deadline for all ballots, mail, absentee, provisional ballots, or cured. Election certification deadline is Friday.
Mississippi allows mail-in ballots to be received up to 5 business days after the election. That’s tomorrow. There will be an update (and probably a call for Colom) after that