Study: climate change made Spain's wildfire weather 20x more likely
#GlobalHeating greatly increases #wildfire risk. That‘s been established scientifically for a long time (see IPCC reports) but has now been shown again for the current fires 🔥 in France and Spain in a new World Weather Attribution study. www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
One key message of the study: "While accelerated adaptation is crucial, there are also limits to adaptation. Limiting further increases in fire risk requires a rapid transition away from fossil fuels."
We are even seeing it in normally wet Sweden, where there are drought warnings in parts of the country.
“Some people think we can wait and, when it gets too bad, then we reduce emissions and things will get better again. People don’t realise that we can’t make it get better again. We can only prevent it from getting much worse.”
the time to prevent climate change was when we were first warned about it over 100 years ago (clipping below from 1912). now we’re just fucked and all we can do is try our best to survive and limit the damage.
There is no "wait and see" for climate. The only solution is to get to zero emissions ASAP, and then pull carbon from the atmosphere as best we can.
A succession of heatwaves and very dry conditions - both driven by human-induced climate change, fueld the severe wildfires in Spain and France - new @wwattribution.bsky.social study www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
"Les émissions totales de carbone liées aux incendies en France ont atteint près de 300.000 tonnes de carbone par jour le 24 juillet, de sorte que le flux cumulé annuel à ce jour dépasse déjà les émissions, pourtant déjà extrêmes, enregistrées en 2022 et en 2003 "
Yes, we can even say that wildfires are directly linked to climate change, and yes, it will only get worse as we continue to burn large amounts of fossil fuels...
👀⬇️ Clear, to the point attribution studies
Human-induced climate change made the extreme fire weather that fuelled the recent destructive wildfires at least twice as likely in France and at least 20 times more likely in Spain, according to our new study.
Selon des chercheurs en sciences de l'attribution (qui mesurent la corrélation entre une catastrophe et la surchauffe planétaire), le changement climatique d'origine humaine a rendu au moins deux fois plus probables les conditions météo extrêmes qui ont alimenté les récents mégafeux en France.
Voilà. On pourra discuter du sexe des anges tant que vous voulez pour tenter de dire « c’pas pareil », aucun pays ne sera épargné. Quelle ironie de voir ceux qui utilisent « boomers » comme insulte, défendre des certitudes du siècle passé 😏
🧪 V good to see sustained media attention but I feel like reporting must evolve beyond asking a range of scientists to comment on how likely it is that 'it's our fault'. Similarly UK sci community needs a single spokesperson who will join dots to political policy www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...
We're way past needing to prove this is real or its cause, and I worry it's a distraction away from talking about the positive impacts of taking action now. Scientist should comment on how specific policies will help or hinder lessening acceleration & severity of effects over next 10, 50, 100 yrs.
Sci comm is undermined in joining dots to political policy when institutional leadership obsesses abt "scientists political biases" Author said on LI that Nature chose the image but he thinks it's fair & says 'New Oil & Gas=Death' is "highly contested" "highly contested" by fossil fuel interests🙄