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Retail sales fall 0.6% in July as tax-refund boost fades

financeAug 14, 202618483

The Commerce Department reported retail sales fell 0.6% in July, the largest decline since May 2025, after a revised 0.2% gain in June. The drop followed a spring bump from larger-than-usual government tax refunds and reflected steep declines in online sales, which fell 2.2% after Prime Day moved earlier, and a 1.8% drop at motor vehicle and parts dealers following heavy incentives in June. Sales at gas stations fell 0.9% for the month even though pump prices rose late in July; AAA put the national average at $4.08 per gallon, up from $3.85 a month earlier and 92 cents higher than a year ago. The so-called control group used to estimate GDP fell 0.4% and retail sales excluding autos and gas declined 0.2%. The weak report, paired with recent sluggish jobs data and a drop in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, prompted many economists to lower growth forecasts for the July, September quarter. Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, wrote that American consumers are showing signs of fatigue.

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