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Study: UK heat pumps and insulation would cut bills more than Rosebank

newsOct 18, 202615441

The thinktank E3G found the UK government’s £15bn warm homes plan, insulating up to 5m homes and investing in heat pumps, would cut household energy bills by about £1bn a year and deliver a £1.6bn annual boost to the economy while creating roughly 50,000 jobs spread across thousands of small businesses. By contrast, E3G estimates the Rosebank oilfield, west of Shetland, would produce about 1,100 direct and indirect jobs concentrated in the North Sea and in two companies including Equinor. E3G said the warm homes programme would attract an additional £15bn in private investment and lift GDP by about 0.08%, while modelling suggests Rosebank would add roughly 0.025% over its lifetime assuming an average oil price of $70 a barrel. E3G highlighted limited tax benefits from Rosebank after concessions to drillers, noting potential backers’ profits of about £1.5bn over 25 years but a possible £258m loss to the UK government through tax breaks. The analysis also warned that if taxpayers fund decommissioning, estimated at £12bn for North Sea infrastructure, any positive fiscal impact from new drilling could be erased. James Huw Dyson of E3G said cutting home insulation while granting oil tax breaks would not help households when the next cold snap arrives. Energy secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh said a Jackdaw gasfield decision was imminent while a Rosebank decision would take longer; Labour’s manifesto pledged to halt new licensing but allowed possible exceptions for already licensed projects.

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