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Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States, AP Analysis

politicsOct 21, 2026151,095

The Associated Press analysis finds that many states likely to decide control of the U.S. Senate are seeing a big boost in early ballots cast compared with the 2022 midterms. AP compared early-vote totals across those competitive states and reports turnout is up in multiple contests that could swing Senate control. The surge in early voting alters the timeline for campaigns and election-watchers because more ballots will be locked in before Election Day. That locked-in early vote could affect which races remain competitive on Election Day and therefore influence which party wins the chamber.

Polling USA
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Texas Polling: Governor: 🔴Abbott: 48%* 🔵Hinojosa: 46% Senate: 🔵Talarico: 49% 🔴Paxton: 44% New River Strategies / Oct 13, 2026 (TX-GOV Model Result: GOP 51% - DEM 49%) (TX-SEN Model Result: DEM 50% - GOP 48%) unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...

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