Undelivered mail ballots found in dumpster as Election Day nears
We don’t know if the early vote will be predictive because all Republicans could just be waiting to vote until Election Day. But what this means in practice is that to win, Trump/GOP will have to have the most successful EDay mobilization operation in modern history— and that it’s completely stealth
Another possibility for Rs is that undecideds, who are about 5-10% of the electorate, could all break 100-0 for Trump and shift the generic ballot to mid single digits. I’m skeptical of that based on Trump’s closing message but technically there’s a chance
I don’t think that’s what’s happening.
Is there any analysis on how a switch from early mail vote to early in-person may be affecting the data/graphs? A sizable portion of the Democratic early mail vote may be moving to in-person to thwart Trump's rigging attempts, and in prior comparison years there was a delivery lag for the mail vote?
As I call around the country, I am finding democrats overwhelmingly waiting for Election Day. It seems they got the message about the USPS. So the theory goes both ways.
Musk’s well-funded GOTV, then, might make all the difference.
Golly don't get my hopes up.