Abdul El‑Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate poll

politicsOct 29, 2026283,035

A Mitchell Research poll for CBS Detroit shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers 51 percent to 44 percent among likely Michigan voters in the Nov. 3 U.S. Senate race. The late October survey of 636 likely voters was conducted Oct. 26-27, used online panels and randomly selected cell phone links, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points at roughly 95 percent confidence. Three percent of respondents were undecided and third-party candidates each drew 1 percent or less. The firm found El-Sayed has consolidated 94 percent of Democrats while Rogers has consolidated 91 percent of Republicans, and independents preferred El-Sayed 52 percent to 38 percent. The poll shows rising early participation with 28 percent saying they had already voted or were voting absentee versus 11 percent in early October. The survey follows two televised debates on Oct. 8 and Oct. 21 and comes as the open seat was created when Sen. Gary Peters announced he would step down at the end of his term.

Jen Rubin

@jenrubin.bsky.social

all that Islamphobia for naught... maybe voters dont buy the hate and the lies, maybe they are better than MAGA www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...

8619h ago

Shannon Pertner10

Everyone I know voted or is going to vote for him. That’s why MAGA is scared. He represents everything they aren’t.

Gremlin 𓅷 McCoy6

Yeah can you imagine someone acting like that? Like, calling for Palestinian children to be fed to sharks or something? Monstrous, those *other* people.

Dr. Frog6

I didn't know much about El-Sayed previously except that he was the more progressive/less moderate candidate in this election. But, dang, I don't care about his policy positions. He is articulate and decent and understands what his job would be. I'd vote for him in a second if I lived there.

michigansuej.bsky.social6

Any Michiganders who haven't voted yet or wonder if they need to, GO VOTE, and vote #Abdul. Unless you like corruption and inflation growing from wars of choice!

Proudly Anti-Fascist5

Rogers campaign ads against El-Sayed here in Michigan have been absolutely disgusting. Talking about the Muslim Brotherhood and sharia law, and are outright lies and bigotry. Just shows how the GOP has no positive accomplishments to campaign with. More of the same Trump lies and garbage.

didoyle.bsky.social3

Michigander here ✋ Both parties, Dem and GOP, are disgusted by the Islamophobia.

Quoting this

Patrick Stuart Sutcliffe31

Jen, remember when you wanted to feed Palestinian children to the sharks

Lydia 🥀14

Hey Jen, remember when you retweeted about feeding Palestinians to sharks? Was that Islamophobia or no?

Mina Li (she/her)8

on the one hand, GOOD. on the other, as a Michigander, I'm still knocking on those doors. don't take anything for granted, fellow Michiganders! we need you to turn out and vote!

Drew the Phoenix3

Yeah delusional Islamophobes are just the worst. I mean, imagine being like this fuck archive.thinkprogress.org/ombudsman-je...

earth-girl123.bsky.social2

The U.S. has a diverse population. The government needs to look more like the U.S. population and alot less like old rich white guy.

JanetB2

Mike Rogers is an effing #loser

stpauldeb.bsky.social2

May the gap continue to widen so Mike falls into it along with Haley Stevens and her fiancée.

Dean Obeidallah

@deanobeidallah.bsky.social

NEW CBS poll: Abdul El-Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers to 7 points in newest Michigan Senate poll. You can do this Michigan. Reject the hate of MAGA and VOET ABDUL! www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...

74710h ago

Susan Hendrick, Esq.12

Don’t trust the polls! Vote!

Baumer10

I hate Rogers AND I REALLY want to see El-Sayed laying into the criminals during congressional investigations

dannys80.bsky.social5

It’s hard to believe what is real on the news. An hour ago it said Abdul was down 1.5 pts. Not sure where everyone is getting their news. Truthfully I don’t trust anything that the news says.

jc4

I fucking love Dr. Abdul El-Sayed! More Muslims in US government, let’s make this place great for once.

Lysander3

Keep pushing No time to be complacent!

Sandra Catania3

Already voted for him. Just waiting for Tuesday now.

Quoting this

Hal Sparks30

Trump just called Rogers and said “send me a picture of your ass”

Anthony Michael Kreis

@anthonymkreis.bsky.social

Michigan Senate Poll 🔵Abdul El-Sayed 51% 🔴Mike Rogers 44% 636 LVs, MoE +/- 3.9% CBS Detroit/ Mitchell Research poll www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...

5248h ago

westvillagecrank.bsky.social49

Michigan, bury Mike Rogers by 1,000,000 votes.

Doctor Matt11

Already sent in my absentee ballot with a vote for Abdul. Let’s win this thing 💪🏻

merlevans.bsky.social11

I sure hope that’s true. I hope Rogers’ Islamaphobic attack ads were as offensive to others as they were to me.

Laura10

MOE = STILL TOO CLOSE!! VOTE! 🇺🇸

JESSE DYLAN FADEN LIKER10

haley really did all of that for nothing, huh? lmao

OPH7

The last poll I saw had El-Sayed behind by one point so I am ELATED to see this

Quoting this

jamelle2598

i don't think this race is going to be especially close

#StupidSuez110

Abdul winning by 7 after predicting 7 would be hilarious

Ebony Elizabeth Thomas67

I'm not surprised. Most Black Detroiters and Black Michiganders are furious about being dragged and slandered by the national media and targeted by these right wing attack ads. Lt. Governor Garlin Gilchrist said it best earlier today: bsky.app/profile/garl...

the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist)47

God I hope he called his shot (+7)

Pam Herd35

He’s been an incredibly disciplined candidate. If you hear him (as opposed to people talking about him), this gap isn’t surprising.

Evan Sutton26

I will not be counting a single chicken before they all hatch, but I have a nice bottle of tequila ready to crack open if Abdul beats Mike Rogers by even one vote.

Jesse Hawken22

Even Bari Weiss’ operation has to admit AES is ahead

William Adler10

El-Sayed is likely to win. Having said that, the polling here may be weird - the primary polls had him *way* up on Stevens but he only defeated her by about 1%.

Zia Foxxington9

Three time loser soon to be four time loser

Tauriq Moosa9

Normal Guy vs Eldritch Horror coming within 10 points of each other really is just US voting isn’t it.

Josh Marshall

@joshtpm.bsky.social

This is one of the two signature in-state polls. 51-45 for El-Sayed. www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...

315Yesterday

kaitlynsexton.bsky.social6

When my lifelong republican sister in law said she was voting for Abdul last week, I’m pretty sure I literally made the surprised emoji face.

GET OUT OF MY WAY!4

LA LA LA LA NOT LOOKING I CAN’T HEAR YOU - still stinging from the 2024 polls

Trump/GOP corruption threatens the world4

12% of the early voters are under age 40, they make up 30% of the general population. 58% of the early voters are over 65, they make up 19% of the general population. The people with the most at stake need to get involved in their future.

Lori 🇺🇦🐸🌊1

Detroit News is the right leaning newspaper. Detroit Free Press is the left-leaning newspaper. So that's good news.

jalo5813.bsky.social1

I hope that’s right. Feels optimistic. Remembering the final Iowa poll from last presidential

Quoting this

Thufir HaWTF, MD 🦀2

For anyone scrolling here, the poll is real. Somebody just AI generated a fake front page. 🙄 bsky.app/profile/josh...

Scott Horton

@robertscotthorton.bsky.social

Intense campaigning by Trump and JD Vance for Republican senatorial candidate Mike Rogers has a predictable effect: he slips much further behind in the race. www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...

2439h ago

Fi 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Independence For Scotland! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿1

Abdul El-Sayed has that rare magnetism that’s able to bypass party affiliation. He’s charismatic, handsome, a doctor, & he comes across as genuine. He’s much like Mamdani in that way. He’s a candidate that people outside Michigan wish they could vote for. Michiganders will know this & be gleeful.

The Downballot

@the-downballot.com

The *actual* poll out of Michigan is in our brand-new Poll Pile. Democrats Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson each lead 51-45 for Senate and governor, respectively. www.the-downballot.com/i/222251137/...

76Yesterday

Ebony Elizabeth Thomas

@ebonyteach.blacksky.app

Everyone here is saying "ignore those polls, GO VOTE!" Love my SE Michigan peeps. 🫶🏾 www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2...

62Yesterday

Leon [the] English [are already scary enough]

@leonenglish.bsky.social

The Detroit News/WDIV Glengariff showing El-Sayed up by 6 is real and not based on a fake AI generated headline (hate that’s such a plausible thing that I had to spend 10 minutes trying to figure it out) www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2...

44Yesterday

Quoting this

Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST80

Undecideds breaking against the unpopular incumbent's party in the run-up to Election Day? That's unpossible, never happens

Leon [the] English [are already scary enough]2

K I’m more willing to believe I’m not just wish-casting this now heh bsky.app/profile/leon...

Angry Donkey News

@angrydonkeynews.bsky.social

El-Sayed was the choice of 51% of likely voters, with Rogers at 44%, in the latest Mitchell poll. Three percent were undecided, and third-party candidates each drew 1% or less. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points, the research company said, at a 95%+ confidence level.

166h ago

Jodi Jacobson

@jljacobson.bsky.social

The past two days I have noticed two candidates really taking it to the GOP writ large, not just Trump, which is what needs to happen. Those are Abdul El Sayed and Jon Ossoff. The rest of you take the fucking gloves OFF.

195h ago

Mitchell Epner

@mitchellepner.bsky.social

As a Jew, I ask all of my landsmen to listen to this clip & understand that deep anti-Semitism pervades the forces trying to get you to vote against Abdul El-Sayed. If you don’t “understand that Jesus came for our salvation” then you “should be nowhere near Washington.” Juden frei DC? Not for me!

172h ago

Rightardia

@rightardia.bsky.social

A new CBS Detroit/Mitchell Research & Communications poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51 percent to 44 percent.

189h ago

Kim, Bestie of Bunzy, Co-CEO Execubetch™️

@easybakedoven.bsky.social

Institutional Racism is the reason this race is even close www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2...

19Yesterday

rayinrichmond.bsky.social1

It's a sickness with about 30% of religious people.

Kris1

Mediocre white folks in this country have had an incredible run.

CharChar1

It's outrageous that it is. God bless Murica. SMH

Paul Rieckhoff

@rieckhoff.bsky.social

“It’s utterly un-American” — Paul Rieckhoff on the Ted Cruz attacks on Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. In the final days before Election Day, things are getting especially ugly: youtu.be/fZlBy-0JuI4

125h ago

Pearls and Irritations

@johnmenadue.com

Abdul El-Sayed could become the first Muslim ever elected to the US Senate after surviving tens of millions in outside spending and attacks on his faith and Gaza stance, James Zogby writes. #Michigan #USPolitics #ElSayed

94h ago

3 sources

cbsnews.comAbdul El-Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers to 7 points in newest Michigan Senate poll nytimes.comIn Michigan, El-Sayed Faces Heat From Former Primary Rival as Election Nears (Gift Article)pearlsandirritations.comAbdul El-Sayed could make history – if dark money cannot stop him

Abdul El‑Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate pollpolitics Ethics experts say some cabinet officials are breaking the Hatch Actpolitics Flávio Bolsonaro lands in US and declares himself Brazil's leaderpolitics

Abdul El‑Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate poll

Related